BEST ACTOR: Definitely Daniel Day-Lewis. Hugh Jackman is the only other slightly serious contender.
BEST ACTRESS: This seems to be a two-way race between Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence, and I think Lawrence is the one with the edge. She's more likeable and just had a great year with THE HUNGER GAMES as well, while Chastain is still slowly getting on people's radars. Then again, nine-year-old Quvenzhané Wallis might cause an upset, just because it would make a good story.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: I'm guessing Christoph Waltz. Robert De Niro, Philip Seymour Hoffman, and Tommy Lee Jones all have gotten good notices for their work, but none have the edge here. And while I liked ARGO a lot, I do not think Alan Arkin deserves an Oscar for his role at all.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway. Not since Heath Ledger's death has there been such a surefire win!
BEST DIRECTOR: This is the strangest set of nominees ever with not just one snub but three! I thought Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were the two frontrunners, with Tom Hooper being a distant third. Yet with none of these three nominated, I don't know what to think. Well, Spielberg doesn't need another Oscar while Benh Zeitlin might win just because it would make a good story (and as a representative of my generation, I am supporting him). So if I have to make one prediction, I'm gonna go with David O. Russell, but this is an open race. Also, it's very sad that there are no women nominated here!
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: This is the second time that Quentin Tarantino and Mark Boal are up against one another, and I think this is clearly a two-way race between DJANGO UNCHAINED and ZERO DARK THIRTY. I'm going to predict the latter.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: I think this will go to ARGO; however, I could also see LINCOLN sneaking one in here, just because Tony Kushner is a Pulitzer-winning writer and so respected. This one is also an open race.
BEST ANIMATED FILM: WRECK-IT RALPH. BRAVE got a mixed reception and I think the golden age of Pixar is definitely over.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: I suspect this might to THE SIMPSONS: THE LONGEST DAYCARE. It's been a long-running franchise and many might feel it's due for an Oscar.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Most likely AMOUR, but A ROYAL AFFAIR is also a contender.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Why are there no women nominated here? I'm really disappointed LES MISERABLES isn't nominated. So I predict LIFE OF PI will win this; it's the most visual of the nominees. Sadly, it seems Roger Deakins is never going to win this award.
BEST EDITING: ZERO DARK THIRTY might win this due to its grittiness.
BEST DOCUMENTARY: THE INVISIBLE WAR. It's topical.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: LES MISERABLES will probably eat up all the technical awards. ANNA KARENINA is also a contender, but not enough people saw it. I'd also be happy with THE HOBBIT winning.
BEST COSTUMES: Here is where ANNA KARENINA might win, as this always goes to the period pieces.
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: LES MISERABLES. THE HOBBIT is also deserving, but others might feel it didn't really do anything new from the previous LORD OF THE RINGS films.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: LIFE OF PI won the Golden Globe here.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: SKYFALL. Not only is it the best James Bond song since Carly Simon's "Nobody Does It Better," but Adele is a musician with a lot of spotlight now.
BEST SOUND MIXING: ARGO or LES MISERABLES.
BEST SOUND EDITING: LIFE OF PI features the most original creation of sounds.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: THE AVENGERS might win as validation for it being the biggest box office hit of the year.
and finally, last but not least:
BEST PICTURE: So last night's Golden Globes would seem to indicate ARGO and LES MISERABLES as the two frontrunners, yet here neither of them have their respective directors nominated. It could be SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK, but I see it winning so little else that I don't know. So, in a year with no clear frontrunner, I'm going to predict LINCOLN, an all-American film!
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